NFL Quarterback Trade/Free Agent Predictions

By Joe Scibelli, Esq.

Happy (late) Valentines Day. Now that the 2020 NFL season is in the books, and Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took home the Lombardi Trophy, it’s time for some QB trade match-maker. This offseason has already started off with a bang: Matthew Stafford went down to Orange County, while Jared Goff got sent to the Motor City; the Texans are in chaos; Russell Wilson is upset; and no team wants to give the Eagles a first round pick for Wentz. Here are some trade predictions for QBs to find their new match. 

Carson Wentz (Indianapolis Colts)

It’s clear that the Eagles are not getting the expected first round pick they were hoping for when they put Wentz on the trading block. Nevertheless, the Colts are going to be Wentz’s new match for the 2021 season. The Colts are a team that has everything in place to win: an unbelievable offensive line, an up-and-coming running back, many weapons for the vertical attack, and a stellar defense. They were probably the best rounded out team in the 2020 season. Phillip Rivers did a lot better than expected leading the Colts to an 11-5 season, despite his inability to throw the ball down the field like he used to in San Diego. Though Rivers did well, the Colts are a good team and that record is due to all aspects in Indy. Now, with Rivers retiring to be a dad for his herd of children, the Colts need to make a move this off-season and find a new quarterback. Wentz is the man they need.

Wentz’s time in Philly was disappointing in general. He had one MVP caliber season, but injuries put him on the bench for Nick Foles. We all know what Foles was able to accomplish when the Eagles were going at all cylinders. Last year, however, the Eagles were not the Eagles that won the Super Bowl in 2017, rather the opposite. Their offense was poor, the chemistry was non-existence, and Doug Pederson was in constant conflict with the front office (which led to his departure). Wentz, in his 12 games as the starter for the Eagles in 2020, was sacked 50 times, more than 4 sacks a game. Wentz, a QB who already sustained some serious injuries, took a beating in 2020. Rivers on the other hand, started all 16 games and was only sacked 19 times in 2020. The Colts gave up the second least amount of sacks this season, while Philly gave up the most.

Wentz has the potential to be a playoff quarterback. The Colts have the personnel to provide Wentz the protection he needs. If the Colts can preserve their first-round pick and get Wentz, they will be fools not to do so. However, if Ertz is included in the deal, they may have to give up their first pick. Nevertheless, the Colts are the best for Wentz because all the pieces are in place for any quarterback to prosper. 

DeShaun Watson (Houston Texans)

Even though this relationship is clearly a breakup, I just don’t see any NFL teams able to make a trade to acquire DeShaun Watson. The reason why, the Stafford trade. The Rams sent a former first overall pick who started in the Super Bowl AND two first-round picks plus a third-round pick for Stafford. This trade spiked the market price for any quarterback going forward. Stafford is a good quarterback and the Lions are the Lions, but Goff has won some playoff games, Stafford is 0-3 in the playoffs. The quarterback market is like GameStop stock, way too over-priced. 

Last year, Watson led the league in passing yards. He is arguably a top-5/top-7 starting quarterback and is a role model in the community. The Texans will want the kitchen sink and more for Watson. If DeShaun Watson was available in the draft for the next 5 years, every team (not including the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens, Chargers, Bengals, Cardinals, and Packers) would draft him with their first pick. Watson is worth five first round picks or any trade equivalent to that. I don’t see any team being able to reach the demand for Watson. I do hope I am wrong, however, because if he does stay with the Texans, I don’t doubt he will sit out this coming season. 

Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks)

Seattle is not getting rid of Russell Wilson. Though Russell has spoken out with his frustrations with the Seahawks, he’s not leaving. If you disagree, please review the reason why DeShaun Watson is stuck in Houston. These teams are businesses, and nothing is more expensive than picking up a quarterback under contract and having to sacrifice draft picks and/or other players to do so. Seattle will have to make changes, however, if they intend on keeping Wilson after his massive contract extension is up. In 2019, Wilson signed a $140 million-dollar, four-year extension. The Walter Payton NFL Man of the Year could not be traded without another team giving Seattle their next three first round picks, two young defensive pro-bowl caliber players, and a quarterback. Again, the Stafford-Goff trade ruined the market. Watson and Russell are staying put despite them being unhappy.

Free Agent Predictions for the 2021 Season:

Dak Prescott – current team, Dallas – 2021 team, Dallas.

Reason – Dallas is going to use the franchise tag again on Dak Prescott. Copying what the former Redskins n.k.a Football Team did with Kirk Cousins. 

Mitch Trubisky – current team, Chicago – 2021 team, Broncos

Reason – Mitch is someone who can either provide guidance to Drew Locke or make for a good internal quarterback competition. Mitch has played in some playoff games, has beaten tough teams and is a QB that can fit in with all the young talent on Denver’s offense.

Jameis Winston – current team, Saints – 2021 team, Saints

Reason – Winston can still throw the ball. He was fortunate to learn under Drew Brees this year and the Saints can get him for a low price. Plus, having Taysom Hill not as your starter allows your whole team a lot more options concerning play style. 

Cam Newton – current team, Patriots – 2021 team, Football Team

Reason – Ron Rivera. Though they signed Taylor Heinicke to a 2-year deal, it was only worth 8.75 million, which could be the same price a team could get Cam for and still be well below the average quarterback salary in the NFL. 

Ryan Fitzpatrick – current team, Dolphins – 2021 team, Patriots

Reason – The Patriots need to draft a quarterback. However, drafting a quarterback requires a mentor, and who not better to have as a mentor, Fitz-Magic. Also, it’s only fitting that he plays for all the AFC East teams in his career. 

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