Gambling Guinea’s MLB Slate- 6/17:
Get out the brooms ‘cause it’s a mess! A clean sweep on Wednesday was just what the doctor ordered. Thursday offers a few plays with strong value as we head in for another big day.
Giants RL -1.5 -103 (DK):
‘Twas another convincing win for the SF Giants last night as they down the Diamondbacks 13-7 and drop them to a now 13 game losing streak. Wow.
Refer to yesterday’s articles if you want all the stats, but the fact remains that Arizona is still 9-30 on the road this season. This afternoon, they have the distinct pleasure of facing renaissance man Kevin Gausman and his staggering 1.43 ERA. Gausman’s ERA is noticeably “worse” at home (2.33) than on the road (0.99), but he’s only allowing an opponent batting average of .117. The proof is in the pudding here.
Although the D Backs are shoving a solid starter in Zac Gallen (1.93 Road ERA), he still only possesses 5 starts under his belt in 2021. Given the trending arrows of each team and the value, it’s fair play to try and dip back into the well one more time.
Brandon Woodruff O6.5K’s -112 (DK):
For all the hoopla surrounding Jacob Degrom as far as NL pitchers go, only recently as the hype train began to slowly move for one of the games’ best hurlers in Brandon Woodruff.
As the ace for the Milwaukee Brewers, Woodruff has done nothing but show out in 2021 as he sports a 1.52 earned run average across 13 starts thus far. The notable play this evening is directly focused on how many punch outs this 10.5 K/9 ace will eclipse. A seemingly salivating 7 K’s at a mere -112 against a Colorado Rockies team averaging 8.5 K’s per game almost seems too good to be true. While Draft Kings is virtually 50/50 on it with the under having the same line, it’s noteworthy that BW has notched at least 7 K’s in 3 of his latest 4 outings. By no stretch of the imagination are the Rockies the pinnacle of unstoppable offense either. Averaging close to 7 innings and just over 7 punch outs per start, Woodruff looks like the kind of player a bettor should give the nod to.
Shohei Ohtani O7.5K’s -113 (DK):
After justttt hitting last week’s strikeout over of 6.5, Shohei Ohtani toes the rubber this evening against the Detroit Tigers. If you’ll notice, based on circumstances books have started to increase the totals of Sho-time.
Let’s call it what it is, Ohtani has fantastic stuff. The problem is oftentimes even he doesn’t know where it’s going. This lack of control and command has led to the common problem of a rapidly rising pitch count and outings that rarely venture past the 5th inning. The true worry about backing Sho as a pitcher strictly comes from the simple question, “How long is he going to stay in tonight?” Tonight, they square off against a Tigers team that punches out over 10 times per game. No matter how you slice it, that’s A LOT. Luckily (for bettors and the Angels), Ohtani is pitching at home tonight, where he has enjoyed much more success in 2021 (averaging 5 innings pitched and 7 plus K’s per start).
The bottom line is his unpredictability to last deep in a ball game is an issue, but regardless of all that and the fact that his total has moved up a full K, against a strikeout prone Tigers team and great value, it’s worth a shot giving Ohtani the benefit of the doubt.